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Ultramarkets lets you trade prediction market movements with up to 10x leverage. You deposit margin, we lend you buying power from the vault, and execute your position directly on Polymarket.

Opening a Position

1

Choose a Market

Pick your direction (Long or Short)
2

Set Your Margin

Minimum $10 USDC
3

Select Leverage

Up to 10x, varies by market
4

Choose Order Type

Market order (immediate execution) or limit order (set a target price)
5

Review and Confirm

We execute the trade on Polymarket

Market Orders vs Limit Orders

Ultramarkets supports two order types for opening leveraged positions:
  • Market orders execute immediately at the current market price. Open fee is 0.5% of margin. Single fill: your position opens in one transaction.
  • Limit orders let you set a target price. Your order rests on the Polymarket CLOB until the price is hit. Open fee is 1.5% of margin. Partial fills are supported, and your position builds up incrementally as fills arrive. Unfilled capital is refunded on cancellation or expiry.
Market OrderLimit Order
ExecutionImmediate at current priceRests on CLOB until target price is hit
Open fee0.5% of margin1.5% of margin
FillsSingle fillPartial fills supported
CancellationCan cancel before executionCan cancel anytime; unfilled portion refunded
Entry priceSingle fill priceWeighted average across fills
Limit orders lock your capital (margin + vault loan + fee) upfront. If the order is partially filled and then cancelled, unfilled capital is refunded proportionally. See Limit Orders for full details.
Example (market order): You deposit $1,000 margin with 10x leverage.
ComponentAmount
Borrowed from vault$9,000
Total position size$10,000
Opening fee$5 (0.5% of margin)
Total cost$1,010

Position Lifecycle

Once open, your position has three possible endings:

Manual Close

You close it manually. Take profits or cut losses whenever you want.

Liquidation

If the market moves against you and your health drops to 45%, we close your position to protect the vault.

Auto-Close

Every market has a close date. All positions close automatically at this time.

Market Close Dates

Every market on Ultramarkets has a predetermined close date, set when the market is listed. This is not a fixed rule like “72 hours before resolution.” Close dates vary by market type:
Event TypeTypical Close Window
ElectionsMay close days before results are certified
SportsMay close at game start
Economic dataMay close before the release
The close date is always visible in the market details and when previewing a position. Plan accordingly.

Trading Probability, Not Outcomes

This is the mental shift that matters: you’re trading probability movements, not betting on outcomes. You don’t need Trump to win to profit from a Trump YES position. You just need the probability to rise before the market closes. If you enter at 40% and exit at 50%, you profit. Whether Trump actually wins is irrelevant to your trade.
This is what makes leveraged prediction markets work. You capture volatility during the trading window, then exit before resolution.